Advanced football stats, translated into plain English.
Latest
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Won 16-0 Without Completing a Pass. Penix Threw Four Picks. Week 8 Was Strange.
Some weeks the NFL gives you a clean story. This was not one of them.
The NFL's Best Defense Has a Team Record of 3-5, and It Isn't the Minnesota Vikings. Here Are All 32, Ranked, With Six Big Surprises.
Blitz rates, schedules, points allowed and what the numbers say about every defense through Week 8.
Ohio State Lost at USC. The Numbers Say Shrug. The Betting Market Says Panic.
Ohio State slid from first to third in our rankings, and the biggest damage hit teams you weren't watching.
Week 9: Every FBS Team Ranked
All 138 teams through Week 9. Opponent-adjusted efficiency does the heavy lifting, with per-play production and the betting market as seasoning. No polls.
The Giants Outgained Houston Texans by 181 Yards, Needed Overtime, and the Tape Says They Won by Two Touchdowns
Tampa Bay Buccaneers' 43-13 is not what it looks like, Detroit Lions beat Green Bay Packers on a tape that says Green Bay Packers, and Seattle Seahawks held Kansas City Chiefs to 213 yards and still left points on the field.
Week 7 Technical Report: A 181-Yard Gap for the Houston Texans, 62 Garbage Snaps for the Carolina Panthers, and the San Francisco 49ers Still on Top
All fourteen Week 7 games, Thursday through Monday night: the scoreboard versus the play-by-play, quarterbacks with charted drops and sacks, coaching flags, injuries and the full 32-team ratings.
Caleb Williams Jumps to No. 1 on Our QB Rankings After Facing the Toughest Schedule of Any Top Quarterback
Data Disrespect, Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2026. Every quarterback, graded on the plays, not the final score.
Week 8: Every FBS Team Ranked
All 138 teams through Week 8. Opponent-adjusted efficiency does the heavy lifting, with per-play production and the betting market as seasoning. No polls.
Are NFL Games Rigged? Super Bowl Ratings, Market Size, Taylor Swift and Penalties: Here's What the Last 10 Years of Data Said
We checked 10 Super Bowls, 122 playoff games and about 31,000 penalties. The numbers show no sign of games being steered to big markets, a Taylor Swift bump we can't prove, and a penalty edge worth about half a point at most.
From Average to Dead Last: What Happened to Justin Herbert When Nobody Is Pressuring Him
The Chargers' line is bad, but it was just as bad last year when Herbert was average. This year, under a new offensive coordinator, he is last among 30 quarterbacks, and the drop shows up even when he has a clean pocket.
Week 6 Technical Report: Fourteen Games, a 144-Yard Hole, and the Scoreboard Gap
All fourteen Week 6 games, Thursday through Monday night: the scoreboard versus the play-by-play, quarterbacks with charted drops and sacks, coaching flags, injuries and the full 32-team ratings.
Five of the AP's Top Seven Lost on Saturday. The Numbers Say Four Were Coin Flips.
Georgia was a 19.5-point favorite and lost to Auburn, but efficiency says it was a toss-up. Only Alabama's loss was a real one.
Week 7: Every FBS Team Ranked
All 138 teams through Week 7. Opponent-adjusted efficiency does the heavy lifting, with per-play production and the betting market as seasoning. No polls.
2-3 and Ranked Sixth: The Rams Lost in Overtime on Monday Night, and the Numbers Call It a Coin Flip
Fifteen games, Monday night included: eight teams the scoreboard flattered, eight it shortchanged, and a power board with the 49ers on top and the Titans on the floor.
The Scoreboard Missed by 12 Points in Seattle and 11 in Jacksonville: Week 5 Technical Report
Fifteen games, Monday night included, with every number re-derived from the raw play-by-play: who the scoreboard flattered, who it shortchanged, and the 32-team opponent-adjusted board.
UCLA Beat Oregon, and Our Own Rankings Still Had Oregon Eight Spots Ahead. Here's Why That's Wrong.
Our blend is mostly a rating that stopped updating after Week 4. We put season efficiency next to it, and the two disagree about Oregon, Texas and Penn State.
The AP's No. 1 Team Lost at Oklahoma. By the Numbers, It Was a Coin Flip, and Texas Was Seventh Anyway.
Six ranked teams lost Saturday. Four of them were flipping coins, one got outplayed by UCLA, and one lost on turnovers.
Week 6: Every FBS Team Ranked
All 138 teams through Week 6. Opponent-adjusted efficiency does the heavy lifting, with per-play production and the betting market as seasoning. No polls.
Every NFL Quarterback, Stack-Ranked: Last Game + 2026 Season Aggregate, Opponent-Adjusted
Week 7 final, including Monday Night Football. Adjusted for the defenses each quarterback faced. Updated Oct. 27, 2026.
Bryce Young Is Good Now (Sorry), and Houston's 0‑4 Is Not C.J. Stroud's Fault
Week 4 QB report, written Monday morning before Falcons-Saints. Every number below comes from play-by-play, not vibes.
NFL Week 4 Advanced Stats: Every Sunday Game and the Full 32-Team Power Rankings
Technical report. Week 4 Sunday, October 4, 2026. 14 games. 2026 regular season only, garbage time removed.
Zero for 13: The Eagles Gained 172 Yards, Never Moved the Chains on Third Down, and Lost by Four
Fourteen Sunday games, a pile of box scores that fibbed, and a power ranking that has the 49ers on top and the Cardinals on the floor.
Miami's QB Just Played His Toughest Defense of the Year, And the Model Still Has Him Number One
Darian Mensah's worst raw stat line of the season was also his best win, and the numbers explain exactly why.
College QB Rankings: Week 5
All 158 qualifying quarterbacks through Week 5, graded on what their plays were worth against the defenses they faced. Sortable by any column.
Ole Miss Lost by 24 and Dropped Five Spots. The Numbers Say They're the 30th-Best Team in the Country.
The AP has Ole Miss ninth. Our numbers have them 30th. That is not a rounding error, that is a reputation doing the job a defense should be doing.
Week 5: Every FBS Team Ranked
All 138 teams through Week 5. Opponent-adjusted efficiency does the heavy lifting, with per-play production and the betting market as seasoning. No polls.
The Vikings Pressure the Quarterback on 4 of Every 10 Dropbacks, the Giants Can't Touch Anybody, and the Hurry Is the Stat Everybody Forgets
Sacks are only the tip of it. We ranked all 32 defenses by sacks, hits and hurries combined, and the list holds some surprises about who is really getting to the quarterback, and why it still does not tell you who has the best defense.
NFL Week 3 Advanced Stats: Every Game, Coaching Flags and the Full 32-Team Stack Ranking
All 15 games from Sunday and Monday night run back through the play-by-play: who won the tape, who won the scoreboard, and where every team stands after three weeks.
Four Teams Won Games Their Own Stats Say They Should Have Lost
Sunday plus Monday night, all 15 games run back through the numbers. Four teams won this weekend with a worse per-play grade than the team they beat.
Ohio State Is Still #1. The More Interesting Story Is Two Blowouts That Weren't What They Looked Like.
The composite barely moved this week because one of its own inputs is stuck on last week's data. That's not nothing — it's a real reason to distrust small rank movement for exactly one more week.
College QB Rankings: Week 4
All 138 qualifying quarterbacks, by what their plays were worth — adjusted for who they played.
Week 4: Every FBS Team Ranked
All 138 teams through Week 4. Opponent-adjusted efficiency does the heavy lifting, with per-play production and the betting market as seasoning. No polls.
The #2 QB in America Isn't a Freshman Phenom — He's a Transfer Who Waited His Turn
Dylan Raiola had 37 dropbacks at Oregon. The numbers already think he's elite. That's either the best backup story of the year or a sample size about to eat someone alive.
NFL Football Betting: The Books Took A Record $595 Million In One Week And Kept Almost None Of It
Everything you need to know about how sportsbooks actually make money, how anyone can tell the pros from the public, and why the 2026 season started so badly for the house.
Sports Betting: The 50/50 Myth, and Who's Really Winning Through Three Weeks of College Football
Real sportsbook bosses say the textbook explanation of how they make money is basically fiction. Here's what they actually do, and what it means for this season so far.
NFL QB Performance Rankings: Week 2
All 34 quarterbacks with a meaningful sample, by what their plays were worth. Sortable by grade, tier, trend and availability.
The Eagles Are 2-0 And Ranked 16th — What The Power Rankings Say That The Standings Don't
Win-loss record and our power rankings agree on a lot of teams. On a handful of others, they're telling two completely different stories. Here's where the gap is biggest, and why it's there.
NFL Power Rankings: All 32 Teams Through Week 2
Every team's rating, offense, defense, success rates, opponent quality and remaining schedule. Garbage time excluded.
Three NFL Teams Won This Week While Their Offense Was Actively Bad — And Other Lies The Scoreboard Told You In Week 2
The box score lied to you about at least four teams this week. Here's the receipts.
College QB Top 25: Week 3
The 25 best quarterbacks in the country by what their plays were worth — now adjusted for who they played.
Week 3: Every FBS Team Ranked
All 138 teams, corrected. Opponent-adjusted efficiency does the heavy lifting, with per-play production and the betting market as seasoning. No polls.
The AP's Number One Ranked Team Isn't Even In Our Top Five
A look at who the numbers say is a fraud, who's flying under the radar, and one undefeated team with a real problem hiding in plain sight.
