Data Disrespect

The numbers do not care about your team

NFL · ReportOctober 20, 2026

Week 6 Technical Report: Fourteen Games, a 144-Yard Hole, and the Scoreboard Gap

All fourteen Week 6 games, Thursday through Monday night: the scoreboard versus the play-by-play, quarterbacks with charted drops and sacks, coaching flags, injuries and the full 32-team ratings.

A Titans quarterback in a light blue No. 1 jersey with a captain's patch and navy helmet looks downfield with the ball cocked to throw.

Every table sorts: click a column header, click again to reverse it, and once more to go back to the original order.

Technical report. NFL Week 6, Thursday October 15 through Monday night October 19, 2026 (all 14 games). 2026 regular season only, garbage time removed.

Scope

All fourteen NFL games of Week 6, 2026 regular season, from Thursday night's Seattle at Denver through Monday night's Washington at San Francisco, including the Houston-Jacksonville game in London. Four teams (Buffalo, Jacksonville, Los Angeles Chargers, Washington) are on bye in Week 7. All data is 2026 regular season only.

How to read this

EPA (expected points added) scores every snap by how much it changed a team's chance to score. Garbage time, the snaps after a game is effectively decided, is removed from every per-play number (EPA, success rate, CPOE). CPOE is completion percentage over expected. Yards, plays, third downs, giveaways (interceptions plus lost fumbles) and sacks are full-game counts on pass and run plays; yards per play counts sacks as lost yards. The tape margin turns each team's total EPA over the whole game into the point margin it normally produces, based on this season's completed games. The flattered column is the scoreboard margin minus the tape margin: positive means the scoreboard was kinder to that team than the plays were. Red zone trips are drives that ran at least one play inside the opponent's 20. Power ratings are opponent-adjusted EPA per play, offense minus defense, garbage time removed, with recent games counting more than older ones; the equal-weight full-season rank sits in its own column.

Data availability

All data layers loaded. Play-by-play, schedules, official injury reports and charting cover all 14 Week 6 games. Player-tracking passing data covers 29 quarterbacks for Week 6. A second weekly passing file covers only Thursday's game (Seattle at Denver), so it is used as a two-team cross-check only. Pass-rusher and blitzer counts are blank for Monday night's Washington at San Francisco game, so blitz rates exclude that game; drops, contested balls, throwaways and quarterback-fault sacks are charted for it. No official Week 7 injury report has posted yet, and a news search returned nothing verified for Week 7, so injuries below are the official Week 6 report.

1. Game by game

SEA at DEN (Thursday, both teams on 4 days of rest, Denver altitude): Seattle gained 355 yards on 81 plays to Denver's 169 on 56 and lost 17-14. Seattle gave the ball away 3 times to Denver's 0 and took 5 sacks. The tape has it Seattle by 0.8.

HOU at JAX (London): 839 combined yards, no sacks either way, one giveaway each. Houston won 34-31; the tape has Jacksonville by 1.2.

CHI at ATL: Atlanta was minus 0.571 EPA a play with garbage time out and took 5 sacks; Chicago blitzed on 54 percent of Atlanta's dropbacks. 43 snaps were garbage time. The tape has Chicago by 12.1 against a final margin of 8.

BAL at CLE: 235 yards for Baltimore, 237 for Cleveland, 4.12 and 3.95 yards a play. Cleveland won 13-10; the tape has Baltimore by 1.3. Baltimore's defense pressured Cleveland on 37.8 percent of dropbacks, the highest rate of the week.

TEN at IND: Tennessee won 26-20 on 187 yards and 44 plays. Indianapolis had 399 yards on 77 plays, 3 giveaways and 6 sacks taken. The tape has Tennessee by 1.2, a game that was close to a push.

NYJ at NE: New England won 26-19 against a tape of 2.3. The Jets scored a touchdown on 1 of 4 red zone trips.

NO at NYG: biggest scoreboard gap of the week. New Orleans won 34-27 despite 320 yards to New York's 464 (4.78 yards a play to 6.72), 1 giveaway to 3, and 5 sacks for the Giants to 0. Saints receivers dropped 6 passes. The tape has New Orleans by 1.0.

CAR at PHI: Carolina outgained Philadelphia 401 to 222 and the tape says Carolina by 14.4 against a final of 11. Philadelphia played without Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley (both Out on the official report).

PIT at TB: both offenses were poor: 5 sacks each, Pittsburgh 4.12 yards a play, Tampa Bay 3.07. Tampa Bay played without Baker Mayfield (Out).

ARI at LAR: Arizona won 18-16 and went 0 for 5 in the red zone. The tape has Arizona by 5.6.

LAC at KC: Kansas City won 22-6 on 7.73 yards a play to 4.11. The Chargers were 0 for 3 in the red zone and were without five players ruled Out, including tackle Joe Alt and safety Derwin James. Kansas City was off a bye (14 days of rest).

BUF at LV: scoreboard and tape agree (Buffalo by 3, tape Buffalo by 3.5). Both offenses moved the ball; Las Vegas was 7 for 12 on third down.

DAL at GB: Green Bay won 23-13 and went 11 for 18 on third down. Dallas threw 55 passes and its receivers dropped 6.

WSH at SF (Monday): San Francisco won 23-17 and moved to 6-0. San Francisco was plus 0.320 EPA a play to Washington's minus 0.191; the tape has San Francisco by 9.6, so the 6-point win undersold it by 3.6.

Game by game: the box scores

SEA at DENThuDEN 17, SEA 14DEN home4/4355/16981/564.38/3.027/17; 3/143/05/2-0.087/-0.141-4.6/-1.51/2; 2/21SEA +0.8+3.8 DEN
HOU at JAXSunHOU 34, JAX 31London (neutral)7/7426/41359/677.22/6.165/11; 7/121/10/0+0.225/+0.174+11.5/-5.04/6; 4/50HOU +1.2+1.8 HOU
CHI at ATLSunCHI 31, ATL 23ATL home7/7369/26172/525.12/5.029/17; 3/121/14/5+0.154/-0.571+13.6/-19.14/5; 3/343CHI +12.1+4.1 ATL
BAL at CLESunCLE 13, BAL 10CLE home7/7235/23757/604.12/3.956/16; 5/161/03/5-0.094/-0.117-1.3/-0.81/2; 1/20BAL +1.3+4.3 CLE
TEN at INDSunTEN 26, IND 20IND home7/7187/39944/774.25/5.183/10; 7/151/30/6-0.128/-0.105-20.1/-8.01/2; 2/43TEN +1.2+4.8 TEN
NYJ at NESunNE 26, NYJ 19NE home7/7325/38459/675.51/5.733/10; 8/151/23/0-0.049/+0.024+5.8/-1.91/4; 3/511NE +2.3+4.7 NE
NO at NYGSunNO 34, NYG 27NYG home7/7320/46467/694.78/6.724/15; 4/121/30/5+0.172/-0.023-19.0/-3.04/4; 3/539NO +1.0+6.0 NO
CAR at PHISunCAR 25, PHI 14PHI home14/7401/22273/615.49/3.647/17; 6/150/02/3+0.064/-0.121-8.9/-4.93/4; 2/29CAR +14.4+3.4 PHI
PIT at TBSunPIT 26, TB 19TB home7/10301/22473/734.12/3.075/15; 6/191/25/5-0.201/-0.291+5.6/-13.52/4; 1/22PIT +5.7+1.3 PIT
ARI at LARSunARI 18, LAR 16LAR home7/6338/28670/574.83/5.025/15; 4/101/10/3-0.021/-0.155+0.3/+4.20/5; 2/40ARI +5.6+3.6 LAR
LAC at KCSunKC 22, LAC 6KC home7/14259/42563/554.11/7.735/16; 3/102/14/0-0.329/+0.274-10.4/+13.20/3; 2/534KC +18.1+2.1 LAC
BUF at LVSunBUF 33, LV 30LV home6/7348/37861/615.70/6.204/10; 7/120/12/0+0.195/+0.033+7.0/-10.93/6; 3/66BUF +3.5+0.5 LV
DAL at GBSunGB 23, DAL 13GB home10/7303/32071/684.27/4.715/13; 11/182/11/3-0.223/+0.055+1.4/-6.02/4; 2/441GB +8.8+1.2 GB
WSH at SFMonSF 23, WSH 17SF home8/8315/37558/605.43/6.253/12; 7/140/14/2-0.191/+0.320+16.3/+9.12/4; 3/422SF +9.6+3.6 WSH

2. Scoreboard versus tape

Scoreboard flattered most: New Orleans (+6.0), Tennessee (+4.8), New England (+4.7), Cleveland (+4.3), Atlanta (+4.1, in a loss by 8 against a tape of 12), Denver (+3.8), Washington (+3.6, in a loss), Los Angeles Rams (+3.6, in a loss), Philadelphia (+3.4, in a loss). Most shortchanged: the New York Giants (minus 6.0), Indianapolis (minus 4.8), the Jets (minus 4.7), Baltimore (minus 4.3), Chicago (minus 4.1), Seattle (minus 3.8), San Francisco (minus 3.6, on Monday night), Arizona (minus 3.6) and Carolina (minus 3.4). Season long (six games, scoreboard margin minus tape margin, summed): Philadelphia (+28.1), Minnesota (+23.0), Indianapolis (+16.0), Chicago (+15.6) and Dallas (+15.4) have the most flattering results; the Rams (minus 25.7), Arizona (minus 25.5), Washington (minus 17.0), the Jets (minus 16.9) and Baltimore (minus 15.8) have the least.

Week 6: where the scoreboard and the tape disagreed
  • NO
  • TEN
  • NE
  • CLE
  • ATL
  • DEN
  • WSH
  • LAR
  • PHI
  • LAC
  • HOU
  • PIT
  • GB
  • LV
  • BUF
  • DAL
  • TB
  • JAX
  • KC
  • CAR
  • ARI
  • SF
  • SEA
  • CHI
  • BAL
  • NYJ
  • IND
  • NYG

Scoreboard margin minus play-by-play margin (points); positive means flattered

Scoreboard versus tape

NONYG+7+1.0+6.0Flattered
TENIND+6+1.2+4.8Flattered
NENYJ+7+2.3+4.7Flattered
CLEBAL+3-1.3+4.3Flattered
ATLCHI-8-12.1+4.1Flattered
DENSEA+3-0.8+3.8Flattered
WSHSF-6-9.6+3.6Flattered
LARARI-2-5.6+3.6Flattered
PHICAR-11-14.4+3.4Flattered
LACKC-16-18.1+2.1About right
HOUJAX+3+1.2+1.8About right
PITTB+7+5.7+1.3About right
GBDAL+10+8.8+1.2About right
LVBUF-3-3.5+0.5About right
BUFLV+3+3.5-0.5About right
DALGB-10-8.8-1.2About right
TBPIT-7-5.7-1.3About right
JAXHOU-3-1.2-1.8About right
KCLAC+16+18.1-2.1About right
CARPHI+11+14.4-3.4Shortchanged
ARILAR+2+5.6-3.6Shortchanged
SFWSH+6+9.6-3.6Shortchanged
SEADEN-3+0.8-3.8Shortchanged
CHIATL+8+12.1-4.1Shortchanged
BALCLE-3+1.3-4.3Shortchanged
NYJNE-7-2.3-4.7Shortchanged
INDTEN-6-1.2-4.8Shortchanged
NYGNO-7-1.0-6.0Shortchanged

3. Quarterbacks (with charting)

Quarterbacks with 10 or more dropbacks. Attempts exclude sacks. Completion percent if drops caught adds charted receiver drops to completions.

Quarterbacks

NYGJ.McCarthy11/192431119+0.553+28.900358%
HOUC.Stroud24/3431231035+0.373+11.510174%
CHIC.Williams30/3630510430+0.299+13.600083%
BUFJ.Allen23/3325520234+0.295+7.010073%
JAXT.Lawrence24/4130641043+0.268-5.030266%
SFB.Purdy21/2926410230+0.247+9.100072%
NED.Maye18/3223530035+0.224-1.930066%
NOT.Shough16/3014430026+0.208-19.060073%
LVK.Cousins23/4131321039+0.197-10.930163%
NYJG.Smith20/3025211328+0.194+5.800167%
BALT.Huntley19/3116510338+0.141-1.300361%
GBJ.Love23/4127611337+0.126-6.063171%
KCP.Mahomes23/3027201020+0.125+13.200177%
ARIJ.Brissett24/3521801035+0.057+0.310171%
CARB.Young20/4028120242+0.047-8.930157%
SEAS.Darnold27/5027802557-0.085-4.620358%
INDD.Jones22/4126912650-0.095-8.021559%
PHIT.McKee26/4521510346-0.116-4.930064%
NYGJ.Winston14/2615212426-0.146-12.810258%
WSHJ.Daniels29/3830020438-0.148+16.300076%
TENC.Ward11/2210211023-0.152-20.120159%
LARM.Stafford25/3422220337-0.179+4.231182%
DENB.Nix17/2710700229-0.205-1.501063%
CLED.Watson16/2616400537-0.205-0.800062%
PITA.Rodgers33/4725321552-0.264+5.630177%
DALD.Prescott34/5525812130-0.296+1.461273%
TBJ.Daniels22/4316412551-0.316-13.512253%
LACJ.Herbert22/3720401433-0.405-10.410162%
ATLM.Penix19/3522530521-0.740-19.130163%

4. Player-tracking cross-check

Time to throw, intended air yards and aggressiveness from player-tracking data, next to play-by-play CPOE. They disagree in places and both are shown.

Player-tracking cross-check

Jacoby BrissettARI2.395.917.1+8.1+0.3
Michael PenixATL2.529.633.3+1.1-19.1
Tyler HuntleyBAL3.038.716.1-8.1-1.3
Josh AllenBUF3.096.221.2+5.7+7.0
Bryce YoungCAR2.8610.315.4-10.7-8.9
Caleb WilliamsCHI3.023.611.1+12.4+13.6
Deshaun WatsonCLE2.728.119.2-3.8-0.8
Dak PrescottDAL2.907.114.8-5.2+1.4
Bo NixDEN2.984.27.4-3.7-1.5
Jordan LoveGB2.829.719.5-3.5-6.0
C.J. StroudHOU2.468.514.7+12.8+11.5
Daniel JonesIND3.1210.211.9-6.5-8.0
Trevor LawrenceJAX2.729.219.5-1.8-5.0
Patrick MahomesKC2.724.43.3+7.6+13.2
Justin HerbertLAC2.826.118.9-6.2-10.4
Matthew StaffordLAR2.574.83.0+3.0+4.2
Kirk CousinsLV2.899.031.7+0.2-10.9
Drake MayeNE3.309.39.4-6.5-1.9
Tyler ShoughNO2.585.826.7-10.3-19.0
J.J. McCarthyNYG2.8514.923.8+8.5+28.9
Jameis WinstonNYG2.316.719.2-18.3-12.8
Geno SmithNYJ3.038.616.7+5.1+5.8
Tanner McKeePHI2.438.122.2-2.9-4.9
Aaron RodgersPIT2.483.66.1-2.7+5.6
Sam DarnoldSEA2.869.719.6+0.7-4.6
Brock PurdySF2.758.810.3+3.2+9.1
Jalon DanielsTB2.666.614.0-15.3-13.5
Cam WardTEN2.486.79.1-17.5-20.1
Jayden DanielsWSH2.877.810.0+10.4+16.3

5. Charted data and pressure

With charting for every game, quarterback fault can be split from receiver drops and protection. New Orleans' Tyler Shough finished at minus 19.0 CPOE, but 6 of his 30 attempts were dropped (Chris Olave 3) and 10 were contested balls; had the drops been caught his completion rate goes from 53 percent to 73 percent. Dallas' Dak Prescott (6 drops, 2 by CeeDee Lamb) and Green Bay's Jordan Love (6 drops, 3 by Matthew Golden, plus 3 quarterback-fault sacks) also lost completions to their receivers. On the other side, Pittsburgh's Aaron Rodgers took 5 sacks and Cleveland's Deshaun Watson took 5, with zero charted as the quarterback's fault: those were protection or coverage problems, not quarterback decisions. Atlanta's Michael Penix took 5 sacks, none quarterback fault, but threw only 3 touchdown passes on a minus 0.740 EPA a dropback and 9 contested balls.

Pressure: Baltimore (37.8 percent of dropbacks ended in a sack or quarterback hit), Denver (35.1) and Tennessee (34.0) created the most; the Giants (3.1), Indianapolis (4.3) and Jacksonville (5.7) the least. The Giants blitzed on 53 percent of New Orleans' dropbacks and produced no sacks and one hit. A second source for Thursday's game agrees: Seattle's Sam Darnold was pressured on 32.8 percent of dropbacks and Denver's Bo Nix on 30.0 percent, consistent with the play-by-play rates.

Pass rush by defense, Week 6

BAL375937.829.7
DEN5751535.133.3
TEN5061134.028.0
CLE383931.618.4
SF454928.9n/a
TB5251028.846.2
KC444827.320.5
NE333627.339.4
CAR4831027.139.6
ARI373727.040.5
PIT525926.925.0
ATL414726.822.0
CHI415626.853.7
DAL443825.029.5
NO515723.531.4
LV362622.236.1
SEA302420.023.3
WSH342314.7n/a
BUF410614.641.5
LAR350514.314.3
GB571714.035.1
PHI432414.034.9
NYJ350411.431.4
LAC32039.425.0
HOU43037.037.2
JAX35025.740.0
IND23014.326.1
NYG32013.153.1

6. Players who looked better, and worse, than they were

Looked better than they were: Michael Penix (3 touchdown passes, minus 0.740 EPA a dropback with garbage time out, CPOE minus 19.1), Cam Ward (Tennessee won; 11 of 22 for 102 yards, CPOE minus 20.1, 1 touchdown and 1 interception), Dak Prescott (34 completions on 55 attempts but minus 0.296 EPA a dropback and 2 interceptions), CeeDee Lamb (minus 9.23 EPA on 12 targets), Derrick Henry (17 carries, 58 yards, minus 8.89 EPA, one lost fumble), Emeka Egbuka (16 targets, 48 yards, minus 11.48 EPA), Jonathan Taylor (21 carries, 94 yards, but minus 4.76 EPA and a lost fumble).

Looked worse than they were: Patrick Mahomes (no touchdowns and one interception, but plus 13.2 CPOE on 20 clean dropbacks and no sacks), Aaron Rodgers (5 sacks, none charted as his fault, plus 5.6 CPOE), Jayden Daniels (29 of 38, 300 yards, 2 touchdowns, plus 16.3 CPOE in a loss; four sacks dragged his EPA to minus 0.148 a dropback), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (12 catches on 16 targets for 134 yards and plus 11.45 EPA in a Seattle loss), Trevor Lawrence (plus 0.268 a dropback with 3 receiver drops in a loss), Geno Smith (plus 0.194 a dropback in a seven-point loss), Christian McCaffrey (2 rushing touchdowns, plus 6.07 EPA on 13 carries), C.J. Stroud (312 yards, 3 touchdowns, plus 0.373 a dropback, best of any quarterback with 20 or more clean dropbacks), Caleb Williams (plus 0.299 a dropback, plus 13.6 CPOE, 4 sacks).

7. Rushers (8 or more carries): best five and worst five by EPA

Rushers

C.McCaffreySF1356+6.0720
K.WalkerKC1186+5.8020
C.RodriguezJAX1155+3.0200
C.HubbardCAR2293+2.8410
J.WilliamsDAL1036+1.8110
T.AllgeierARI1838-4.1200
J.DobbinsDEN1741-4.7510
J.TaylorIND2194-4.7611
B.IrvingTB1844-5.8200
D.HenryBAL1758-8.8901

8. Receivers (7 or more targets): best six and worst six by EPA

Receivers

J.Smith-NjigbaSEA1612134+11.4500
C.TateTEN7670+5.8010
T.McMillanCAR9686+5.7101
K.AllenIND11882+4.9200
C.LovelandCHI7665+4.4210
D.GoedertPHI8661+4.3600
C.McCaffreySF8746-5.5200
W.RobinsonTEN7322-5.9400
A.BrownNE10327-7.3901
C.LambDAL12654-9.2301
E.EgbukaTB16748-11.4810
K.Lambert-SmithLAC8416-17.1000

9. Coaching flags (directional only)

Directional flags only, never a grade; samples are small and coordinator names are not in the public data, so flags are at team and head-coach level. Neutral situations are first or second down in a competitive game, outside the last two minutes of a half; the pass rate figure is points above or below the expected pass rate in those situations, full season. The Chargers (Jim Harbaugh) pass 13.1 points less than expected, Tennessee (Robert Saleh) 9.7 less, Atlanta (Raheem Morris) 8.9 less, Baltimore (Jesse Minter) 8.4 less, Tampa Bay (Todd Bowles) 7.4 less. Fourth down: the Chargers faced 10 fourth-down snaps Sunday and went for it on 3, converting none. Defense: Minnesota (minus 0.192), Seattle (minus 0.164), Tampa Bay (minus 0.145) and Chicago (minus 0.135) have the best recency-weighted opponent-adjusted defenses; Dallas (plus 0.138), Miami (plus 0.116), the Giants and Buffalo (plus 0.105 each) the worst. Defensive samples are 6 games or fewer.

Coaching flags (directional only)

LACJim Harbaugh1030-13.1-10.8
TENRobert Saleh700-9.7-12.4
ATLRaheem Morris730-8.9+8.5
BALJesse Minter1011-8.4-3.9
TBTodd Bowles1221-7.4-1.1
NYGJohn Harbaugh921-7.3+8.3
BUFSean McDermott600-5.7-3.6
SEAMike Macdonald811-5.7-8.0
CHIBen Johnson700-4.8-5.9
NOKellen Moore1111-3.8-13.9
WSHDan Quinn731-2.9+13.6
PHINick Sirianni910-2.8+11.2
NYJAaron Glenn720-2.3-8.7
ARIJonathan Gannon900-1.6-2.3
GBMatt LaFleur711-1.3+0.5
JAXLiam Coen410-0.5+5.6
LVKlint Kubiak500-0.4-2.9
NEMike Vrabel621-0.1-1.4
HOUDeMeco Ryans500+0.2+9.2
DENSean Payton1011+0.4-7.5
KCAndy Reid610+1.8+1.4
INDShane Steichen731+2.1-1.3
DALBrian Schottenheimer742+2.9-4.0
PITMike McCarthy1010+4.8-2.7
CLETodd Monken1011+5.2-0.7
SFKyle Shanahan722+5.3+19.7
LARSean McVay620+6.0+1.6
CARDave Canales811+9.2+15.4

10. Injuries: official Week 6 report, players ruled Out

Injuries

ARIAndrew Wingard (S); Jeremiyah Love (RB); Wydett Williams Jr. (S)
ATLC.J. Henderson (CB)
BALLamar Jackson (QB); Broderick Washington (DE); Cam Jurgens (C); Matthew Hibner (TE)
BUFnone listed
CARAJ Dillon (RB)
CHIT.J. Edwards (LB); Dayo Odeyingbo (DE); Kyle Monangai (RB); Keyshaun Elliott (LB)
CLETeven Jenkins (G); Kalia Davis (DT); Mike Hall Jr. (DT); Dylan Sampson (RB); Dillon Gabriel (QB)
DALCobie Durant (CB); Drew Shelton (T)
DENTalanoa Hufanga (S); Pat Surtain II (CB)
GBJavon Hargrave (DT); Benjamin St-Juste (CB); Jonathan Ford (DT); Skyy Moore (WR)
HOUDavid Montgomery (RB); Jalen Pitre (S); Tank Dell (WR)
INDAshton Dulin (WR); Jaylon Carlies (LB)
JAXRoss Matiscik (LS); Montaric Brown (CB)
KCRashee Rice (WR); Josh Simmons (T)
LACDonte Jackson (CB); Derwin James (S); Kayode Awosika (G); Joe Alt (T); Tre Harris (WR)
LARnone listed
LVTonka Hemingway (DT); Carter Runyon (TE); Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR)
NECarlton Davis III (CB); Karon Prunty (CB)
NOKaden Elliss (LB); Anfernee Jennings (LB)
NYGTheo Johnson (TE); Tyler Nubin (S); Colton Hood (CB)
NYJJoseph Ossai (DE); Dylan Parham (G); Breece Hall (RB); Adonai Mitchell (WR)
PHISaquon Barkley (RB); Jalen Hurts (QB); Michael Carter II (S); Landon Dickerson (G); Grant Calcaterra (TE); Jakorian Bennett (CB); Jalyx Hunt (LB); Will Shipley (RB); Eli Stowers (TE)
PITDeShon Elliott (S); Ben Skowronek (WR); Roman Wilson (WR)
SEAChazz Surratt (LB); Drake Thomas (LB); Zach Charbonnet (RB)
SFNick Bosa (DE); Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR); Garret Wallow (LB); Marques Sigle (S)
TBBaker Mayfield (QB); David Sills (WR); Antoine Winfield Jr. (S)
TENJordan Elliott (DT); Kevin Winston Jr. (S)
WSHMarcus Mariota (QB); Charles Omenihu (DE); Javontae Jean-Baptiste (LB); Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB)

11. Power rankings after Week 6 (32 teams)

Ranked on recency-weighted, opponent-adjusted net EPA per play, garbage time removed, 2026 only. Net is offense minus defense (a negative defense number is a good defense). The full-season columns show the same rating with every game weighted equally. The biggest disagreements are Green Bay (6th now, 15th equal-weight), Houston (9th vs 16th), Detroit (12th vs 17th) and the Jets (11th vs 14th) on the way up, and Denver (19th vs 11th), Buffalo (16th vs 8th), Seattle (13th vs 7th) and the Rams (20th vs 12th) on the way down. Prior rank comes from this same rating run before this update, so it can differ from the order published in last week's report. "Paris" marks the neutral-site game.

Top 10 and bottom 10 teams after Week 6
  • SF
  • CHI
  • JAX
  • CIN
  • NE
  • GB
  • KC
  • CAR
  • HOU
  • MIN
  • LV
  • DAL
  • PHI
  • NO
  • IND
  • WSH
  • MIA
  • NYG
  • LAC
  • TEN

Recency-weighted, opponent-adjusted net EPA per play (garbage time removed)

Power rankings after Week 6 (32 teams)

1SF49ers6-0+0.233+0.187-0.04654.71+0.2682+1at ATL6-0.069
2CHIBears4-2+0.231+0.096-0.13547.73+0.1894+2vs NE4+0.043
3JAXJaguars4-2+0.169+0.160-0.00947.22+0.2311-2BYE--0.086
4CINBengals3-2+0.161+0.115-0.04649.34+0.1603-1at BAL14-0.031
5NEPatriots4-2+0.153+0.115-0.03846.35+0.14950at CHI4+0.005
6GBPackers4-2+0.147+0.056-0.09140.715+0.04514+8at DET7+0.041
7KCChiefs5-0+0.112+0.132+0.02050.26+0.1286-1at SEA7+0.015
8CARPanthers3-2+0.099+0.134+0.03543.510+0.08010+2vs TB7+0.026
9HOUTexans2-4+0.096+0.078-0.01844.516+0.02513+4vs NYG7-0.071
10MINVikings5-0+0.079-0.113-0.19236.39+0.08611+1vs IND14+0.060
11NYJJets2-4+0.070-0.033-0.10344.214+0.04616+5vs MIA7-0.040
12DETLions3-2+0.055+0.143+0.08748.617+0.01217+5vs GB14+0.030
13SEASeahawks3-3+0.055-0.109-0.16441.27+0.1207-6vs KC10-0.002
14BALRavens4-2+0.054+0.074+0.02148.113+0.06715+1vs CIN7+0.057
15TBBuccaneers1-5+0.051-0.094-0.14538.419-0.00118+3at CAR7-0.013
16BUFBills5-1+0.050+0.156+0.10548.58+0.0988-8BYE-+0.046
17PITSteelers4-2+0.042+0.033-0.00940.520-0.01919+2NO (Paris)7+0.011
18CLEBrowns4-2+0.032-0.079-0.11138.618+0.00123+5at TEN7-0.040
19DENBroncos4-2+0.005-0.029-0.03538.411+0.0729-10at ARI10-0.023
20LARRams2-4-0.022+0.012+0.03446.812+0.06812-8at LV7-0.009
21ATLFalcons2-4-0.054-0.090-0.03643.021-0.037210vs SF7+0.052
22ARICardinals2-4-0.092-0.082+0.01045.523-0.071220vs DEN7-0.017
23LVRaiders3-3-0.102-0.020+0.08243.822-0.04820-3vs LAR7-0.015
24DALCowboys2-4-0.113+0.025+0.13846.627-0.14827+3at PHI8-0.066
25PHIEagles2-4-0.128-0.144-0.01737.326-0.14124-1vs DAL8-0.058
26NOSaints2-4-0.139-0.046+0.09343.224-0.12225-1PIT (Paris)7+0.070
27INDColts2-4-0.152-0.080+0.07242.028-0.17628+1at MIN7-0.022
28WSHCommanders1-4-1-0.162-0.067+0.09539.125-0.14026-2BYE--0.037
29MIADolphins0-5-0.207-0.091+0.11636.930-0.202290at NYJ14+0.046
30NYGGiants3-2-1-0.216-0.111+0.10541.529-0.18531+1at HOU7-0.004
31LACChargers0-6-0.280-0.305-0.02535.131-0.24030-1BYE-+0.040
32TENTitans1-5-0.287-0.226+0.06138.632-0.312320vs CLE7+0.018

12. Schedule and injury outlook

Week 7: New England at Chicago is Thursday on 4 days of rest for both teams. Pittsburgh plays New Orleans in Paris (neutral site, international). San Francisco goes to Atlanta on 6 days of rest. Cincinnati (14 days of rest) visits Baltimore, Minnesota (14) hosts Indianapolis, Miami (14) visits the Jets, Green Bay visits Detroit (14), Denver (10) visits Arizona, Kansas City visits Seattle (10). Buffalo, Jacksonville, the Chargers and Washington are on bye. Injury context from the official Week 6 report: Baltimore (Lamar Jackson), Philadelphia (Jalen Hurts, Saquon Barkley), Tampa Bay (Baker Mayfield), Cleveland (Dillon Gabriel), Washington (Marcus Mariota) and San Francisco (Nick Bosa, Deebo Samuel) were Out; Week 7 reports post midweek. Remaining opponent strength is the average net rating of a team's remaining opponents (higher is harder).

13. Limits

Six games is a small sample and a one-game gap is a direction, not a measurement. The recency weighting leans on the most recent games, so a few teams move 8 to 10 spots in a week; the equal-weight columns show the steadier view and the two disagree materially for several teams. Player-tracking CPOE and play-by-play CPOE differ in places and both are shown. Blitz counts are missing for Monday night. Coaching and defensive observations are directional only.

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